Football Hedging System – Final Review
The Football Hedging System is a much talked-about suite of football trading systems run by Tony Langley.
There has been a great deal of interest from the gambling community about the Football Hedging System and it seems to have generated some heated debate – although most comment has been positive overall.
Membership has now been closed – we understand for good – so doing a review may be a bit of a moot point now but we thought we would do one anyway for the sake of completeness and just in case it does open again at some point in the future.
Results
We tested the systems for six months, so what did we think?
Well, overall our views are very positive.
The systems Tony has designed clearly work, and if you follow his trades you would have done very well indeed.
We made 387 points profit from following Tony’s trades, which represented nearly 200% growth of the bank and is excellent going in anyone’s book.
And part of that was during the quieter summer months, so there is the potential to do even better than that.
So it’s a clear passed rating for the Football Hedging System, but there are some issues with it that we want to deal with further below.
How Does it Work?
Firstly, you may be wondering how it works. Well, upon signing up, you get access to the FHS members area, which has an array of training guides and videos explaining each of the systems. You are also sent a hard copy manual of the systems in the post.
The systems all involve trading on Betfair and have video examples of trades to show you how to operate the systems.
As a member you also receive Tony’s e-mails, which provide live updates of games he is trading with instructions and screenshots.
There were five systems to trade during our trial, although the majority of trades focus on two of the systems.
Please note that the systems are complicated! Yes, even seasoned traders may take quite a bit of time to learn to trade these systems and a good deal of practice is required to get them right. Tony advises paper trading until you have mastered them, which is sound advice.
The Recovery
The essence of these systems is that they are designed in such a way that you should never lose a trade, because there is a “recovery” process you can follow to get yourself out of trouble if a trade goes wrong.
Now the recovery is complicated and involves backing various different things at the same time. You need to be able to work out how much to place on each separate bet and to do it quickly. That can be very challenging!
I used Bet Angel to assist with this, which has a nifty hedging tool to work out the amount needed to cover a given liability and that certainly helped.
In our experience, the recoveries do “work” as such, if you can get them on in time before another goal is scored.
However, here is the rub of things. In some instances you might not be able to do this and so you could lose a significant portion of your stake in this instance.
Let’s say one of the trades involves using the unders markets. If there is a rush of goals – and anyone who has traded football matches for any length of time will know that can definitely happen – you might not have time to get the trades on and just be left with a lost bet.
The same could happen if you were trading involving backing one team and the other team scored two or three quick goals.
So the systems are not completely foolproof. This should be recognised if you are signing up to the Football Hedging System.
There is nothing we have ever encountered (other than matched betting of course) that can guarantee you a profit whatever happens.
If there was then we would be millionaires and probably wouldn’t be running this website but would be off in the Bahamas being served cocktails by beautiful young ladies instead!
So please don’t think that this guarantees you winning 100% of the time.
There was also one instance when we were paper trading one match and there was an incredible first half, with the score being 4-2 at half-time.
We asked Tony how we should have traded during that half and he admitted that really it wasn’t possible in that instance.
A first half finishing 4-2 is an extremely rare occurrence though so we shouldn’t get too hung up about that one game.
The other issue with the recovery though is that often you require high multiples of your stake to make it work, especially when there are two or more goals against you. So if for example you started off with total stakes of £100, the recovery might need up to £1,000 to make it work.
That is fine if it does work, but obviously does limit the kind of staking you can do somewhat.
The issue of the recoveries was tackled with the introduction of the stop loss, which is dealt with below.
Tony’s Trades
Having said all this about the recovery process however, it is worth noting that even if you had not used the recovery process but just traded out if things had gone against you and taken a 50% loss of the stake, here are the results from Tony’s trades since he started:
Total Trades 314
Total Recoveries 32
Total Successful Trades 282
Strike Rate 89.8%
Using just a £300 bank delivered a net profit return of £938.93 which is a 308.6% bank growth without compounding.
So even without the recovery, just by following Tony’s trades you would have done very well. This shows just how good Tony is at selecting matches with the criteria for his systems.
The Stop Loss
Perhaps in response to concerns over the problems with the recovery process, Tony recently added some new methods that involve placing “stop losses” so that even if things go against you, you have trades placed that insure you against losing too much.
These are certainly a welcome addition and do add some considerable protection. However, these still need you to trade quickly when things happen in a game, so there is the same risk of lots of goals affecting you. But the amount at risk is less which is good.
The Price
The price for the Football Hedging System is exceptionally high compared to the vast majority of tipsters and betting systems we have reviewed on here, at £1297 for the cheapest package, plus £201 per month for Tony’s advice and e-mails.
So the question is, is that cost justified?
Well, it will depend on a certain extent on how large your staking is as that will define how long it takes to win back the cost of the subscription.
Over the long term you should make it back even with relatively modest staking, but it could take up to a year or longer.
In our view, the cost of the system is too high relative to everything else on the market and should be lower.
However, the cost hasn’t stopped large numbers of people signing up, so clearly people are prepared to pay the substantial fees for access to the system.
And of course there is always the option of a refund, as long as you follow the rules set out regarding refunds in their terms and conditions.
Reviews
There are no reviews yet.